The Saudis’ Bid for War in Lebanon

Well, according to a leaked cable, Israel and Saudi Arabia are cooperating to threaten Hezbollah and undermine Iran’s expansionist efforts in the Middle East. Despite past conflict, these embittered rivals are uniting against a common enemy…to a point. If you read my last article on this subject, you know how suspicious I am of our new Saudi partners. They have one of the highest rates of antisemitism in the world, and continue to support Palestinian terrorism. It’s only out of mere geopolitical convenience that they choose to cooperate. In essence: “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.”

As events have unfolded, Israel must act decisively. Essentially given the green light from Saudi royalty, Hezbollah should be completely destroyed in haste. Have we forgotten that Iran has been the powerhouse behind all opposition to Israel since its 1979 revolution? I can’t imagine that Netanyahu would ever find another opportunity to crush a longstanding enemy, without worrying about hostility from the rest of the Arab world. This is a rare instance of aligning national interests. It’s as if current events have been wrapped up and given to Israel from God himself, and all due to our enemies’ own failures. As long as war is in the cards, I contend that circumstances will never be more in Israel’s favor.

However, this is entirely conditional on a quick resolution. Israel cannot fight a long and protracted war. Any victory in such a war would be Pyrrhic and undermine Israel’s interests both domestically and throughout the international community. Saudi Arabia knows this, and as far as they are concerned, it would only be a protracted war between two of their hated enemies, in which only they benefit. It would be a situation perfectly masterminded by Arab treachery, treachery we’ve come to expect from them. Israel cannot flourish in peace as long as Hezbollah is entrenched at the doorstep, and at the same time, Israel cannot stumble into war bloated and over-budget, to be stuck in perpetual conflict for years.

Today, Lebanon’s foreign minister boasts that they would win a war against Israel, and after they’ve denied any strategic victory, who can blame him for coming to this conclusion? Hezbollah is a small army with many weapons, and Israel has difficulty with them because politicians are too afraid of the price for lasting security. Unfortunately, this chronic hesitancy will cost Israel in the future more than any war today. Israel is not known for its weak military, but any weakness here is directly caused by the indirection of Israeli politicians. News media accurately reports the situation between Israel and Hezbollah as a stalemate, a stalemate originally self-induced by Sharon’s 1982 failure to finish the job.

There is only a single solution to this continued standstill in Lebanon, and one I’ve repeated before. Israel must use every measure to completely destroy Hezbollah, and do so within days; faster than Saudi Arabia can fuel their tanks. Only displays of strength will incur respect among the Arab nations, and Hezbollah is the only target that makes sense. Hezbollah is seen to be as skilled as the IDF, and at the same time, they lack the Arab support of Hamas and Fatah. As long as the Saudis are giving the green light, Israel cannot hesitate. If Hezbollah receives any more missiles, they could destroy the entire region. Destroying them now would be like ripping a bandaid off, it would hurt a lot but the world would be a safer place.

Israel’s security hinges on being decisive, a trait I do not see in most politicians, Israeli or otherwise. The Saudis are sure to sell us out as soon as we’re no longer useful, so use the opportunity to make them fear the consequences of betrayal.

 

 

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